본문 바로가기
  • 학술저널
  • Top 10%

WRF를 이용한 RCP 4.5와 8.5 시나리오 기온과 강수

표지

DBpia에서 서비스 중인 논문에 한하여 피인용 수가 반영됩니다. 내서재에 논문을 담은 이용자 수의 총합입니다.

초록·키워드 목차

Historical, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios from HadGEM2-AO are dynamically downscaled over the northeast East Asia with WRFV3.4. The horizontal resolution of the produced data is 12.5 km and the periods of integration are 1979~2010 for historical and 2019~2100 for both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. We analyze the time series, climatology, EOF and extreme climate in terms of 2 m-temperature and precipitation during 30-year for the Historical (1981~2010) and RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 (2071~2100) scenarios. According to the result, the temperature of the northeast Asia centered at the Korean Peninsula increase 2.9 and 4.6℃ in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively, by the end of the 21st century. The temperature increases with latitude and the increase is larger in winter rather than in summer. The annual mean precipitation is expected to increase by about 0.3 mm day<SUP>?1</SUP> in RCP4.5 scenario and 0.5 mm day<SUP>?1</SUP> in RCP8.5 scenario. The EOF analysis is also performed for both temperature and precipitation. For temperature, the EOF 1st modes of all scenarios in summer and winter show that temperature increase with latitude. The 2<SUP>nd</SUP> mode of EOF of each scenario shows the natural variability, exclusive of the global warming. The summer precipitation over the Korean Peninsula projected increases in EOF 1st modes of all scenarios. For extreme climate, the increment of the number of days with daily maximum temperature above 30℃ per year (DAY<SUB>TX30</SUB>) is 25.3 and 49.7 days in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 respectively over the Korean Peninsula. The number of days with daily precipitation above 20 mm day<SUP>?1</SUP> per year (DAY<SUB>PR20</SUB>) also increases 3.1 and 3.5 days in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 respectively. #WRF #HadGEM2-AO #IPCC RCP scenario #future regional climate change

Abstract
1. 서론
2. 자료 및 실험방법
3. 결과
4. 요약 및 결론
REFERENCES

저자의 논문

DBpia에서 서비스 중인 논문에 한하여 피인용 수가 반영됩니다.
Insert title here
논문의 정보가 복사되었습니다.
붙여넣기 하세요.