인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2022.7
- 수록면
- 41 - 55 (15page)
- DOI
- 10.31336/JTLR.2022.7.34.7.41
이용수
초록· 키워드
This paper analyzes the effect of geopolitical risk on tourism demand using panel data of 14 countries with geopolitical risk index (GPR) from 1997 to 2019. We use the CS-ARDL (Cross-sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lags Model) estimation method considering the cross-sectional dependence and slope coefficient heterogeneity of panel data to analyze the dynamic characteristics of long-term and short-term effects of tourism demand.
The results of analysis are as follows. The effects of geopolitical risk index (GPR) and income on the number of inbound tourists are positive (+) and statistically significant, whereas the effects of exchange rate and pandemic on the number of inbound tourist are negative (-) and statistically significant.
Most inbound tourists prefer to visit countries with social, economic and political security, which means that the mitigation of geopolitical risks can positively contribute to tourism demand. Therefore, it is required to establish policies to mitigating the negative impact that geopolitical risks can have on tourism demand.
The results of analysis are as follows. The effects of geopolitical risk index (GPR) and income on the number of inbound tourists are positive (+) and statistically significant, whereas the effects of exchange rate and pandemic on the number of inbound tourist are negative (-) and statistically significant.
Most inbound tourists prefer to visit countries with social, economic and political security, which means that the mitigation of geopolitical risks can positively contribute to tourism demand. Therefore, it is required to establish policies to mitigating the negative impact that geopolitical risks can have on tourism demand.
#관광수요(Tourism Demand)
#지정학적 위험(Geopolitical Risk)
#횡단면 의존성(Cross-sectional Dependence)
#이질성(Heterogeneity)
#CS-ARDL(Cross-sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lags Model)
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목차
- Abstract
- Ⅰ. 서론
- Ⅱ. 선행연구
- Ⅲ. 모형 및 자료
- Ⅳ. 분석방법
- Ⅴ. 분석결과
- Ⅵ. 요약 및 결론
- 참고문헌
참고문헌
참고문헌 신청최근 본 자료
UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2022-323-001624355