인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
DBpia AI
AI 에이전트
AI 아이디어
AI 리더
AI 뷰어
Citeasy
크롬 서지관리 다운로드
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
피인용 0
초록·키워드
The objective of this study was to predict future phenological changes of Hydrochara affinis and Sternolophus rufipes in agro-ecosystem under climate change scenarios. Environmental shifts driven by climate change are affecting the phenology of species inhabiting agricultural ecosystems. A quantitative analysis of phenological change is necessary because these phenological changes can impact agricultural productivity. In this study, we monitored the adult flight phenology of Hydrochara affinis and Sternolophus rufipes, which were selected as climate change indicator species of agricultural ecosystem in South Korea, and simulated future phenological changes using SSP scenarios. The results indicate that the first flight of Hydrochara affinis and Sternolophus rufipes are expected to occur earlier in the future compared to past by 4-49 days and 4-50 days, respectively, under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Phenological shifts were found to be more pronounced in SSP5-8.5 compared to SSP2-4.5. The analysis showed that, compared to the results of the RCP 8.5 scenario from previous studies, the flight timing of Hydrochara affinis and Sternolophus rufipes has been further advanced under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Long-term monitoring is essential to analyze the impacts of climate change on agricultural ecosystems. The prediction methods and results of phenological changes in agricultural ecosystems presented in this study are expected to contribute to the development of climate adaptation strategies in agriculture.
본문·목차
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