인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록·키워드
Research on predicting solar thermal systems has primarily utilized artificial neural networks (ANNs), which heavily rely on numerical weather prediction (NWP) data. However, ANN models struggle to capture temporal dependencies in time series data, and discrepancies between NWP data and actual observations can reduce prediction accuracy. This study proposes a long short-term memory (LSTM)-based prediction model that integrates NWP, numerical weather observation (NWO), and numerical system observation (NSO) data. The model predicts three output variables and was developed into three configurations: LSTM 1, LSTM 2, and LSTM 3, each based on different input setups. LSTM 3 outperformed LSTM 1 in predicting supplied energy, reducing the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) by 28.2% and 25.3%, respectively, while improving the R² value by 34.5%. For predicting the top storage tank temperature, LSTM 3 also achieved reductions in MAE and RMSE of 27.3% and 23.5%, and improved R² by 12.2%. In terms of the prediction of acquired energy, solar irradiation was the most significant variable, with an importance score of 0.068, followed closely by supplied energy at 0.067 and top storage tank temperature at 0.057. These results indicate that the combined influence of environmental and system variables is crucial for enhancing prediction accuracy.
본문·목차
인공지능 문자 인식 모델을 통해 추출된 텍스트로, 일부 오타나 오류가 포함될 수 있으나 지속적으로 개선 중입니다.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-151-25-02-093834344