인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
DBpia AI
AI 에이전트
AI 아이디어
AI 리더
AI 뷰어
Citeasy
크롬 서지관리 다운로드
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 저자정보
피인용 0
초록·키워드
This study uses the Granger causality test to look into the causal links between Iraq's Foreign Currency Reserves (FCR), Exchange Rate (ER), and Oil Revenues (OR) throughout the seven years from 2004 to 2020. The numbers show that the FCR has gone up a lot, from around 13.65 million USD in 2004 to more than 70.7 million USD in 2020. The exchange rate, on the other hand, has stayed very stable at about 1190 IQD per USD. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test shows that all of the variables are not stationary at levels, but they do become stationary after first differencing. This means that they are integrated of order one, or I(1). The Granger causality analysis shows that there is a strong bidirectional causal relationship between ER and FCR, with an F-statistic of 4.25 and a p-value of 0.027. This connection shows that the two variables have an effect on each other. Also, it has been found that oil revenues are a Granger-cause for FCR (F=5.89, p=0.010), which shows how oil income affects monetary reserves. The results show how important oil income and changes in currency rates are to the level of monetary stability in Iraq. This study gives important information that economic policymakers may use to come up with good monetary and fiscal policies to help stabilize the Iraqi economy, even when the world economy is going through ups and downs.
본문·목차
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