인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록·키워드
This study analyzes the impact of demographic changes on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from household consumption in South Korea and projects these changes through 2050. Achieving carbon neutrality requires fundamental transformation across economic and social systems, including household consumption patterns, alongside production-side changes. South Korea's rapid demographic transition is expected to significantly alter household structures by 2050. Using data from Statistics Korea's Household Income and Expenditure Survey for 2019, we analyzed consumption patterns across 19 household types categorized by household head age and household size and constructed a hybrid input-output table to calculate GHG emission coefficients. The analysis incorporated household projection scenarios to forecast emission changes through 2050, comparing results with South Korea’s 2030 NDC and 2050 carbon neutrality targets. Results show that aging households exhibit increased expenditure on carbon-intensive goods such as electricity and heating fuels, while single-person households demonstrate higher transportation-related emissions. Projections indicate that GHG emissions will peak around 2023 earlier than the peak in household numbers and decrease by approximately 7% by 2050 due to combined aging and downsizing effects. However, this reduction is insufficient to meaningfully contribute to South Korea's climate targets, demonstrating that demographic transition provides only limited support as a “supplementary driver” rather than a “primary driver” of GHG reduction. The findings emphasize the need for aggressive additional reduction policies beyond natural demographic effects, along with targeted interventions involving energy efficiency measures for aging households and sustainable mobility solutions for single-person households.
본문·목차
인공지능 문자 인식 모델을 통해 추출된 텍스트로, 일부 오타나 오류가 포함될 수 있으나 지속적으로 개선 중입니다.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
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