인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록·키워드
This study examines exposure-linked adjustments in East Asian production-chains outcomes following the 2018 US–China trade conflict and during the post-2021 period. Using a technology-tiered panel of economy–sector cells and multi-regional input–output (MRIO)-based indicators—value-added absorption (VAX) and backward/forward average propagation lengths (APLB/APLF)—this paper assesses how pre-shock export exposure relates to post-period changes in network structure. To capture heterogeneity beyond mean responses, it estimates recentered influence function (RIF) regressions with fixed effects for unconditional quantiles and random-coefficients mixed models that recover unit-specific post-2021 exposure slopes. The results indicate that post-2021 adjustments are heterogeneous and systematically structured. Distributional estimates show that exposure-linked effects are most detectable in the lower-to-middle portions of the unconditional outcome distribution rather than concentrated exclusively in the upper tail. Unit-level predictions further reveal pronounced technology-tier divergence: primary-processing (PP) sectors are substantially more likely to exhibit positive post-2021 exposure slopes, whereas resource-based, low-tech, and especially high-tech (HT) sectors are predominantly negative. These findings suggest that post-2021 adjustment is characterized by tier-specific divergence rather than a uniform shift, implying that resilience and industrial policies should be differentiated by technology tier— emphasizing trade facilitation and input-flow reliability for upstream processing segments while supporting diversification and capability upgrading in technology-intensive manufacturing.
본문·목차
인공지능 문자 인식 모델을 통해 추출된 텍스트로, 일부 오타나 오류가 포함될 수 있으나 지속적으로 개선 중입니다.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-151-26-02-096364371