인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
DBpia AI
AI 에이전트
AI 아이디어
AI 리더
AI 뷰어
Citeasy
크롬 서지관리 다운로드
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록·키워드
Chub Mackerel is a key seafood product in South Korea, with the domestic supply significantly dependent on imports from Norway. However, recent supply shocks, including the Norwegian government's substantial reduction in catch quotas, are anticipated to increase market volatility and fundamentally alter domestic producer price formation. This study examines the price transmission effects of Norwegian mackerel on Korean landing prices utilizing an ARDL model. Monthly data from 2015 to 2024 were seasonally adjusted using the X-13 ARIMA-SEATS method, and stationarity was verified through ADF and PP unit-root tests. To ensure the robustness of the long-term relationship identified by the ARDL bounds test, FMOLS and DOLS estimators were additionally applied. Empirical results demonstrate a statistically significant and positive price transmission from Norway to South Korea. Specifically, a 1% increase in the import price of Norwegian mackerel results in a 0.91% increase in the domestic producer price in the long run. The analysis also reveals a short-term effect of 0.38, indicating that the impact of external supply shocks intensifies over time. These findings suggest that imported mackerel is a determinative factor in domestic price formation. Accordingly, domestic supply management and production policies should incorporate real-time monitoring of Norwegian catch conditions.
본문·목차
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