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논문 기본 정보

저자정보
(The University of Seoul) (The University of Seoul)
저널정보
대한국토·도시계획학회 국토계획 國土計劃 第57卷 第4號(通卷 第264號)
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    초록·키워드

    When planning coastal areas, sea level rise (SLR) is often overlooked because planners typically expect the effects of SLR to occur in the distant future, i.e., approximately a century later, and because the assessment of SLR is challenging. However, SLR is likely to affect coastal cities even in the short term via an increase in tide and storm surge heights. Using a spatial tool, we estimate the short- and long-term effects of SLR on houses in Myeongji City, Busan. Results show that old towns at low elevations of the city are particularly susceptible to flooding in the short term. The expected annual damage by SLR in 30 years is 0.3-0.4 billion KRW, which will increase exponentially to 0.9-15.0 billion KRW in 2100. When planning coastal cities, this non-negligible short-term damage by SLR should be considered.

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      UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2022-539-001694073