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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
저널정보
대한국토·도시계획학회 국토계획 國土計劃 第43卷 第5號
발행연도
2008.10
수록면
63 - 78 (16page)

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Sustainable population policy of government will bring a change in population structure by increase of a birthrate. It is expected to affect the demand for housing and regional economics. This study studied through forecast of the demand for housing and MR I-O model how a change of the demand for housing according to an increase of a birthrate has an effect on regional economics. The demand for housing reflecting population structure has increased in other areas than Seoul. However, it will have started to decrease since 2025 in Seoul. It will increase in 2010 in Seoul and its decrease and increase will make similar level of demand to that of areas other than Seoul. Early forties have a great influencing power on the demands for housing and wider generation has an influencing power in other areas than in Seoul. Next, it was analyzed by MR I-O model, how a change of the demand for housing affects regional economics. As a result, while housing construction industry has been affected more in other areas than in Seoul, a service industry related to housing purchase has been affected more in Seoul. The effect of housing construction industry on regional economics was outstanding in other areas than in Seoul, comparing other areas and Seoul. The effect in Seoul was greater than in other areas. The effect that each area have on the whole country was similar, though it is a little different by multiplier.

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Abstract
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 출산율 증가에 따른 인구추계
Ⅲ. 모형설정
Ⅳ. 분석결과
Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론
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