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자료유형
연구보고서
저자정보
김동성 (경기개발연구원)
저널정보
경기연구원 경기연구원 기본연구 기본연구 2010-14
발행연도
2010.11
수록면
1 - 199 (199page)

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The purpose of this study is to analyze the alliance structure of the Korean peninsula and develop a new set of foreign strategies for the Republic of Korea. Historically, the Korean peninsula has been the focal point of the rivalry and confrontation among the great powers in Northeast Asia. Presently, the Korean peninsula continues to be a key strategic node where the national interests of the United States, China, Japan, and Russia meet and balance against each other. When power and interests around the Korean peninsula are in equilibrium, we can have stability and order in the region. If disequilibrium erupts, crisis and war ensue.
The alliance structure of the Korean peninsula consists of 4 core alliances and 2 subsidiary ones. ROK-US alliance and North Korea-China alliance are the main pillars among them. The alliance structure of the Korean peninsula had been stable due to the power balance and status-quo tendencies of the participating countries. However, the rise of China, the strengthened rivalry between China and the United States, the military build-up of Japan, the resurgence of Russia, and the nuclear development efforts and the fragile state systems of North Korea make the future of the Korean peninsula and Northeast Asia look very unstable and worrisome.
In order to have security and prosperity and achieve the reunification of the Korean peninsula, ROK needs more active strategies. They are (1)establishing the unification of North and South Korea as the primary national goal, (2)maintaining good neighborly relations with the four powers surrounding the Korean peninsula, (3)coping with the changes in the bilateral relations between the U.S. and China, (4)keeping flexibility in maneuvering foreign strategies and preparing for the interchange of national interests, (5)strengthening the ROK-US alliance, (6)cooperating strategically with China while hedging against ‘a new Chinese hegemony’, (7)holding Japan as a cooperative and valuing sharing state, (8)encouraging regime transformations in North Korea, (9)forming alignment and cooperation with ASEAN, India, and Central Asian countries, and (10)promoting the regional institution of Northeast Asian Security Cooperation.

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제1장 서론
제2장 국가와 동맹
제3장 한반도 동맹구조
제4장 기회와 위협
제5장 한국의 신 대외전략
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2012-309-004231637