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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2018.2
- 수록면
- 19 - 38 (20page)
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초록· 키워드
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The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on Presidential approval ratings (popularity) in Latin America based on economic voting theory. In this study, the panel linear model is set as the basic equation for its analysis. In this analysis, the popularity of 18 presidents in Latin America using Latinbarometro data was employed as a dependent variable. GDP growth rate, GDP per capita growth rate, unemployment rate, consumer price rate, government expenditure, and misery index (unemployment rate + consumer price rate) were used as explanatory variables. The results of this study were confirmed to be consistent with the results of previous studies. In Latin America, the president’s approval ratings have proven to be closely linked to economic growth. As GDP and GDP per capita increase, the popularity of the president increases. Government spending is also closely related to the approval rating of the president in Latin America. In contrast, the unemployment rate has been proven to have a negative impact on the popularity of the president in Latin America. One of the important results identified in this study is that the effect of consumer prices on the approval rating of the president is minimal in Latin America. The results are consistent with previous studies. Finally, this study examined the possibility of the misery index as a comprehensive economic indicator that determines the popularity of the president. As a result, it can be confirmed that the misery index has a sufficient possibility as a representative economic variable affecting the approval rating of the president. The results have shown that the misery index and the popularity of the president are very closely related.
목차
ABSTRACT
서론
이론적 검토 및 라틴아메리카 지역에서 대통령의 인기도
실증분석
결론
참고문헌
참고문헌 (35)
참고문헌 신청
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Anderson / 2003 / Post-Socialist Democratization : A Comparative Political Economy Model of the Vote for Hungary and Nicaragua / Electoral Studies 22 (3) : 469 ~ 484
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Arce, Moises / 2003 / Political Violence and Presidential Approval in Peru / The Journal of Politics 65 (2) : 572 ~ 583
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Benton, Allyson Lucinda / 2005 / Dissatisfied Democrats or Retrospective Voters? Economic Hardship, Political Institutions and Voting Behavior in Latin America / Comparative Political Studies 38 (4) : 417 ~ 442
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Brophy-Baermann, Michelle / 1994 / Economics and Elections : The Mexican Case / Social Science Quarterly 75 (1) : 125 ~ 135
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Buendia, Jorge / 1996 / Economic Reform, Public Opinion and Presidential Approval in Mexico, 1988-1993 / Comparative Political Studies (5) : 566 ~ 591
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Arce, Moises / 2003 / Political Violence and Presidential Approval in Peru / The Journal of Politics 65 (2) : 572 ~ 583
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Benton, Allyson Lucinda / 2005 / Dissatisfied Democrats or Retrospective Voters? Economic Hardship, Political Institutions and Voting Behavior in Latin America / Comparative Political Studies 38 (4) : 417 ~ 442
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Brophy-Baermann, Michelle / 1994 / Economics and Elections : The Mexican Case / Social Science Quarterly 75 (1) : 125 ~ 135
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Buendia, Jorge / 1996 / Economic Reform, Public Opinion and Presidential Approval in Mexico, 1988-1993 / Comparative Political Studies (5) : 566 ~ 591
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2018-950-001819329