인문학
사회과학
자연과학
공학
의약학
농수해양학
예술체육학
복합학
지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
초록·키워드
Primary care consultations provide an opportunity for patients and clinicians to assess asthma attack risk. Using a data-driven risk prediction tool with routinely collected health records may be an efficient way to aid promotion of effective self-management, and support clinical decision making. Longitudinal Scottish primary care data for 21,250 asthma patients were used to predict the risk of asthma attacks in the following year. A selection of machine learning algorithms (i.e., Naïve Bayes Classifier, Logistic Regression, Random Forests, and Extreme Gradient Boosting), hyperparameters, training data enrichment methods were explored, and validated in a random unseen data partition. Our final Logistic Regression model achieved the best performance when no training data enrichment was applied. Around 1 in 3 (36.2%) predicted high-risk patients had an attack within one year of consultation, compared to approximately 1 in 16 in the predicted low-risk group (6.7%). The model was well calibrated, with a calibration slope of 1.02 and an intercept of 0.004, and the Area under the Curve was 0.75. This model has the potential to increase the efficiency of routine asthma care by creating new personalized care pathways mapped to predicted risk of asthma attacks, such as priority ranking patients for scheduled consultations and interventions. Furthermore, it could be used to educate patients about their individual risk and risk factors, and promote healthier lifestyle changes, use of self-management plans, and early emergency care seeking following rapid symptom deterioration.
인공지능 문자 인식 모델을 통해 추출된 텍스트로, 일부 오타나 오류가 포함될 수 있으나 지속적으로 개선 중입니다.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.
오류를 발견하셨다면 해당 부분을 드래그한 후 ' 를 통해 신고해주세요.