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학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
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연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
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Purpose : This study was to develop a strategy for modeling future workforce projections to serve as a basis for analyzing annual supply of and demand for physical therapists across the South Korea into 2030. Methods : In-and-out movement model was used to project the supply of physical therapists. The demand was projected according to the demand-based method which consists of four-stages such as estimation of the utilization rate of the base year, forecasting of health care utilization of the target years, forecasting of the requirements of clinical physical therapists and non-clinical physical therapists based on the projected physical therapists. Result : Based on the current productivity standards, there will be oversupply of 39,007 to 40,875 physical therapists under the demand scenario of average rate in 2030, undersupply of 44,663 to 49,885 under the demand scenario of logistic model, oversupply of 16,378 to 19,100 under the demand scenario of logarithm, and oversupply of 18,185 to 20,839 under the demand scenario of ARIMA model in 2030. Conclusion : The result of this projection suggests that the direction and degree of supply of and demand for physical therapists varied depending on physical therapists productivity and utilization growth scenarios. However, the need for introduction of a professional physical therapist system and the need to provide long-term care rehabilitation services are actively being discussed in entering the aging society. If community rehabilitation programs for rehabilitation of disabled people and the elderly are activated, the demand of physical therapists will increase, especially for elderly people. Therefore, healthcare policy should focus on establishing rehabilitation service infrastructure suitable for an aging society, providing high-quality physical therapy services, and effective utilization of physical therapists.
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등록된 정보가 없습니다.
참고문헌 (11)
참고문헌 신청
Bureau of Labor Statistics : Occupational outlook handbook, 2008-09 Edition
Hanke JE / 2008 / Business forecasting / Pearson College Div
HRSA / 2006 / Physican supply and demand: Projection to 2020
Kim US / 1991 / A study on the supply and demand of medical staff in the short and long term Ⅱ: nurses, nursing assistants, pharmacists, medical staff (medical laboratory technologists, radiologists, physical therapists) :154
Kirkpatrick PJ / 2014 / Simvastatin in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage(STASH) : a multicentre randomised phase 3 trial / Lancet Neurol 13(7):666~675
Hanke JE / 2008 / Business forecasting / Pearson College Div
HRSA / 2006 / Physican supply and demand: Projection to 2020
Kim US / 1991 / A study on the supply and demand of medical staff in the short and long term Ⅱ: nurses, nursing assistants, pharmacists, medical staff (medical laboratory technologists, radiologists, physical therapists) :154
Kirkpatrick PJ / 2014 / Simvastatin in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage(STASH) : a multicentre randomised phase 3 trial / Lancet Neurol 13(7):666~675
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