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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2018.1
- 수록면
- 73 - 91 (19page)
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South Korea, China, and Japan are three dominant countries in the global shipbuilding industry, and the competition between them has become more complex over time. The International Maritime Organization environmental regulations and the wave of Industry 4.0 have made the global shipbuilding industry more technology intensive than before. However, after the financial crisis of 2008, China’s labor-intensive strategy outperformed the technology-intensive competitive strategy adopted by Japan and South Korea, and China was ranked first with the largest market share. This study sets out to explore whether China’s labor-intensive strategy will remain superior to the technology-intensive one of Japan and South Korea. Specifically, we investigate how competitive relationships between the three countries changed after the 2008 global financial crisis. We also forecast how many ships each country will complete in through 2026. To analyze this dynamic competitive system, we use the three-dimensional Lotka-Volterra model, drawing on annual data reporting the number of ships built. The findings suggest that China has gained a competitive advantage over Japan since the 2008 global financial crisis, while South Korea has maintained a mutualistic relationship with both Japan and China. Our forecast suggests that China may lose its competitive advantage in the near future, if China does not embrace a more technology-intensive approach.
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참고문헌 (26)
참고문헌 신청
Bank of Korea / 2010 / Trends in and prospects for the shipbuilding industry
Bischi, G. I / 2010 / Three-dimensional discrete-time Lotka-Volterra models with an application to industrial clusters / Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 15(10):3000~3014
Bhargava, S. C / 1989 / Generalized Lotka-Volterra equations and the mechanism of technological substitution / Technological Forecasting and Social Change 35(4):319~326
Chang, B. Y / 2014 / Performance comparison of two diffusion models in a saturated mobile phone market / Technological Forecasting and Social Change 86(C):41~48
Chiang, S-Y / 2011 / Competitive Diffusion of Personal Computer Shipments in Taiwan / Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(3):526~535
Bischi, G. I / 2010 / Three-dimensional discrete-time Lotka-Volterra models with an application to industrial clusters / Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 15(10):3000~3014
Bhargava, S. C / 1989 / Generalized Lotka-Volterra equations and the mechanism of technological substitution / Technological Forecasting and Social Change 35(4):319~326
Chang, B. Y / 2014 / Performance comparison of two diffusion models in a saturated mobile phone market / Technological Forecasting and Social Change 86(C):41~48
Chiang, S-Y / 2011 / Competitive Diffusion of Personal Computer Shipments in Taiwan / Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(3):526~535
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