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A foreign exchange rate is one factor that drives U.S. agricultural trade. Considering this fact, the impact of asymmetric exchange rate changes on U.S. agricultural trade with major trading partners are analyzed. We employ a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model to analyze the dynamic exchange rate changes on U.S. agricultural exports and imports. In order to test the asymmetric exchange rate effects on trade, we decompose the exchange rate into its positive and negative changes. Then, we calculate the partial sum for the positive and negative exchange rate. The results provide evidence that at least in the short run the effects of exchange rate changes on the U.S. agricultural exports are asymmetric for some countries while the impact of foreign exchange rate changes on the U.S. agricultural imports is symmetric. Furthermore, an increase or decrease in income among the major trading nations leads to rise or fall in the U.S. agricultural exports. Our study provides important evidence for the asymmetric exchange rate changes on the bilateral U.S. agricultural trade.
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참고문헌 (27)
참고문헌 신청
Anders, S. / 2017 / Quality, Sourcing, and Asymmetric Exchange-rate Pass-through into U.S. Coffee Imports / Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 42(3):372~385
Atil, A. / 2014 / Asymmetric and Nonlinear Pass-Through of Crude Oil Prices to Gasoline and Natural Gas Prices / Energy Policy 65:567~573
Bachmeier, L. J. / 2003 / New Evidence on Asymmetric Gasoline Price Responses / Review of Economics and Statistics 85(3):772~776
Baek, J. / 2009 / Assessing the Exchange Rate Sensitivity of US Bilateral Agricultural Trade / Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 57(2):187~203
Bagnai, A. / 2015 / Long-and Short-run Price Asymmetries and Hysteresis in the Italian Gasoline Market / Energy Policy 78:41~50
Atil, A. / 2014 / Asymmetric and Nonlinear Pass-Through of Crude Oil Prices to Gasoline and Natural Gas Prices / Energy Policy 65:567~573
Bachmeier, L. J. / 2003 / New Evidence on Asymmetric Gasoline Price Responses / Review of Economics and Statistics 85(3):772~776
Baek, J. / 2009 / Assessing the Exchange Rate Sensitivity of US Bilateral Agricultural Trade / Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 57(2):187~203
Bagnai, A. / 2015 / Long-and Short-run Price Asymmetries and Hysteresis in the Italian Gasoline Market / Energy Policy 78:41~50
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