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초록· 키워드
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Global warming causes various problems such as the increase of the sea surface temperature, the change of coastlines, ocean acidification and sea level rise. Sea level rise is an especially critical threat to coastal regions where massive population and infrastructure reside. Sea level change is affected by thermal expansion and mass increase. This study projected future sea level changes in the 21st century using the HadGEM2-AO with RCP8.5 scenario. In particular, sea level change due to water mass input from ice-sheets and glaciers melting is studied. Sea level based on surface mass balance of Greenland ice-sheet and Antarctica ice-sheet rose 0.045 m and 0.053 m over the period 1986~2005 to 2081~2100. During the same period, sea level owing to dynamical change on Greenland ice-sheet and Antarctica ice-sheet rose 0.055 m and 0.03 m, respectively. Additionally, glaciers melting results in 0.145 m sea level rise. Although most of the projected sea level changes from HadGEM2-AO are slightly smaller than those from 21 ensemble data of CMIP5, both results are significantly consistent each other within 90% uncertainty range of CMIP5.
목차
Abstract
1. 서론
2. 자료
3. 미래 해수면 전망 방법
4. 결과
5. 요약 및 결론
REFERENCES
참고문헌 (54)
참고문헌 신청
Arendt, A. / 2012 / Randolph glacier inventory [v2.0]: A dataset of global glacier outlines / Global land Ice Measurements from Space initiative (GLIMS) Tech. Rep :35
V. K. Arora / 2011 / Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases / Geophysical Research Letters 38(5)
백희정 / 2013 / Climate Change in the 21st Century Simulated by HadGEM2-AO under Representative Concentration Pathways / 한국기상학회지 49(5):603~618
David B. Bahr / 2009 / Sea-level rise from glaciers and ice caps: A lower bound / Geophysical Research Letters 36(3)
Bi, D. / 2013 / The ACCESS coupled model:description, control climate and evaluation / Aust. Meteor. Oceanogr. J 63:41~64
V. K. Arora / 2011 / Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases / Geophysical Research Letters 38(5)
백희정 / 2013 / Climate Change in the 21st Century Simulated by HadGEM2-AO under Representative Concentration Pathways / 한국기상학회지 49(5):603~618
David B. Bahr / 2009 / Sea-level rise from glaciers and ice caps: A lower bound / Geophysical Research Letters 36(3)
Bi, D. / 2013 / The ACCESS coupled model:description, control climate and evaluation / Aust. Meteor. Oceanogr. J 63:41~64
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2020-453-000106013