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Extreme temperatures and precipitations are expected to be more frequently occurring due to the ongoing global warming over the Korean Peninsula. However, few studies have analyzed the synoptic weather patterns associated with extreme events in a warming world. Here, the atmospheric patterns related to future extreme events are first analyzed using the HadGEM3-RA regional climate model. Simulations showed that the variability of temperature and precipitation will increase in the future (2051-2100) compared to the present (1981-2005), accompanying the more frequent occurrence of extreme events. Warm advection from East China and lower latitudes, a stagnant anticyclone, and local foehn wind are responsible for the extreme temperature (daily T>$38^{\circ}C$) episodes in Korea. The extreme precipitation cases (>$500mm\;day^{-1}$) were mainly caused by mid-latitude cyclones approaching the Korean Peninsula, along with the enhanced Changma front by supplying water vapor into the East China Sea. These future synoptic-scale features are similar to those of present extreme events. Therefore, our results suggest that, in order to accurately understand future extreme events, we should consider not only the effects of anthropogenic greenhouse gases or aerosol increases, but also small-scale topographic conditions and the internal variations of climate systems.
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참고문헌 (30)
참고문헌 신청
백희정 / 2013 / Climate Change in the 21st Century Simulated by HadGEM2-AO under Representative Concentration Pathways / 한국기상학회지 49(5):603~618
최광용 / 2008 / Recent Spatial and Temporal Changes in Means and Extreme Events of Temperature and Precipitation across the Republic of Korea / 대한지리학회지 43(5):681~700
Clark, R.T. / 2006 / Modeling Northern Hemisphere summer heat extreme changes and their uncertainties using a physics ensemble of climate sensitivity experiments / Journal of Climate 19(17):4418~4435
CORDEX-East Asia / 2012 / COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment in East Asia: Receive HadGEM3-RA Data from CORDEX-East
Gu, H. / 2012 / Assessing future climate changes and extreme indicators in east and south Asia using the RegCM4 regional climate model / Climatic Change 114(2):301~317
최광용 / 2008 / Recent Spatial and Temporal Changes in Means and Extreme Events of Temperature and Precipitation across the Republic of Korea / 대한지리학회지 43(5):681~700
Clark, R.T. / 2006 / Modeling Northern Hemisphere summer heat extreme changes and their uncertainties using a physics ensemble of climate sensitivity experiments / Journal of Climate 19(17):4418~4435
CORDEX-East Asia / 2012 / COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment in East Asia: Receive HadGEM3-RA Data from CORDEX-East
Gu, H. / 2012 / Assessing future climate changes and extreme indicators in east and south Asia using the RegCM4 regional climate model / Climatic Change 114(2):301~317
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