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학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2018.9
- 수록면
- 99 - 106 (8page)
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.13041/jpvm.2018.42.3.99
이용수
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
A simulation model of the 2010/11 foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) epidemic in the city of Andong, Republic of Korea was constructed to evaluate the epidemiologic effectiveness of FMD-control strategies. Seven FMD-control strategies were evaluated with respect to a number of epidemiologic indicators relating to the outbreak, including the number of infected animals, number of infected farms, and epidemic duration. The FMD-control strategies in the model consisted of pre-emptive slaughtering, movement restriction, and vaccination; however, levels of each control option differed. The constructed model was not perfectly representative of the 2010/11 FMD epidemic, although it was considered to mimic the actual FMD epidemic in its prediction of two outcomes: the median number of simulated FMD-detected farms was 294 (range 207?515), which was close to the number of farms detected (299) during the actual FMD epidemic (x2=87.239, df=98, p = 0.774); and the simulated epidemic curve was visually similar to the actual epidemic curve of the 2010/11 FMD epidemic. The effectiveness evaluation of simulated FMD-control strategies emphasized the amount the FMD outbreak size could have increased if the radius of the pre-emptive slaughtering area or the duration of movement restriction were decreased.
목차
등록된 정보가 없습니다.
참고문헌 (18)
참고문헌 신청
Bates TW / 2003 / Description of an epidemic simulation model for use in evaluating strategies to control an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease / Am J Vet Res 64:195~204
Carpenter TE / 2011 / Epidemic and economic impacts of delayed detection of foot-and-mouth disease: a case study of a simulated outbreak in California. / J Vet Diagn Invest 23:26~33
Davies G / 2002 / Foot and mouth disease / Res Vet Sci 73:195~199
Garner MG / 2005 / Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia / Aust Vet J 83:758~766
Garner MG / 2011 / Principles of epidemiological modelling / Rev Sci Tech 30:407~416
Carpenter TE / 2011 / Epidemic and economic impacts of delayed detection of foot-and-mouth disease: a case study of a simulated outbreak in California. / J Vet Diagn Invest 23:26~33
Davies G / 2002 / Foot and mouth disease / Res Vet Sci 73:195~199
Garner MG / 2005 / Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia / Aust Vet J 83:758~766
Garner MG / 2011 / Principles of epidemiological modelling / Rev Sci Tech 30:407~416
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